That, economists say, is the inevitable outcome of the nation’s ballooning debt and the renewed prospect of inflation as the economy recovers from the depths of the recent recession.

The shift is sure to come as a shock to consumers whose spending habits were shaped by a historic 30-year decline in the cost of borrowing.

“Americans have assumed the roller coaster goes one way,” said Bill Gross, whose investment firm, Pimco, has taken part in a broad sell-off of government debt, which has pushed up interest rates. “It’s been a great thrill as rates descended, but now we face an extended climb.”

The impact of higher rates is likely to be felt first in the housing market, which has only recently begun to rebound from a deep slump. The rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage has risen half a point since December, hitting 5.31 last week, the highest level since last summer.

Along with the sell-off in bonds, the Federal Reserve has halted its emergency $1.25 trillion program to buy mortgage debt, placing even more upward pressure on rates.  The 30-year fixed rate before the Federal Reserve bailout plan was 6%.  When the government bailout plan went into effect, consumers saw interest rates fall to historical lows below 4%.  Experts believe the end of the bailout plan on March 31 will spark a rise in mortgage interest rates back to levels before the bailout plan went into effect.

Each increase of 1 percentage point in rates adds as much as 19 percent to the total cost of a home, according to Christopher J. Mayer, a professor of finance and economics at Columbia Business School.

Mortgage Calculator

The Mortgage Bankers Association expects the rise to continue, with the 30-year mortgage rate going to 5.5 percent by late summer and as high as 6 percent by the end of the year.

“We’ve gotten spoiled by the idea that interest rates will stay in the low single-digits forever,” said Jim Caron, an interest rate strategist with Morgan Stanley. “We’ve also had a generation of consumers and investors get used to low rates.”

Free Report: 6 Things You Must Know Before You Buy

For young home buyers today considering 30-year mortgages with a rate of just over 5 percent, it might be hard to conceive of a time like October 1981, when mortgage rates peaked at 18.2 percent. That meant monthly payments of $1,523 then compared with $556 now for a $100,000 loan.

No one expects rates to return to anything resembling 1981 levels. Still, for much of Wall Street, the question is not whether rates will go up, but rather by how much.

Some firms, like Morgan Stanley, are predicting that rates could rise by a percentage point and a half by the end of the year. Others, like JPMorgan Chase are forecasting a more modest half-point jump.

But the consensus is clear, according to Terrence M. Belton, global head of fixed-income strategy for J. P. Morgan Securities. “Everyone knows that rates will eventually go higher,” he said.

Source: New York Times

Four years after home prices hit their peaks, CNNMoney looks at how 330 metro areas have fared.

Source: IHS Global Insight/PNC Financial Service

“onTrack CRM automated my lead follow up, created accountability, measured my results, and increased my lead profitability three-fold.  Its direct result was a six figure income, being in the top 3% of 6000 Realtors while working less than 30 hours a week.” Elliot, Realtor, Honolulu Board of Realtors

Research by Steve Murray’s Real Trends reveals that the average closing rate for Internet leads is just 2% to 6%, while those agents who diligently manage their leads convert 15% to 20%.

Wow. I found that statistic hard to believe until I saw my own conversion rates triple after getting my onTrack CRM.  Imagine how your income would grow if you could double or triple your conversion rate.

onTrack CRM puts you on the road to seeing those higher conversion returns. It gives you control of the lead conversion process. Purchasing leads is only the first step in a complex incubation process. As an integrated lead conversion system, onTrack CRM has the contact management tools you need to turn leads into sales.

If you’re spending money to purchase leads, then it is only logical to invest in a system to convert more of your leads into closed sales.

To close more leads you must be proactive in managing how your leads are handled. Purchasing leads is just the beginning. The critical work lies in incubation and conversion. Unfortunately, agents typically manage leads very poorly and don’t have the systems to effectively and efficiently convert them into closed sales.

Your leads are worth more than a bucketful of
hope and promises.

onTrack CRM combines sophisticated technology to effectively and efficiently manage your leads.  onTrack CRM provides a transparent system to automate how each lead is handled. Rules which you set alert you to keep lead contact records current. You can be certain that every lead is being constantly and continuously cultivated according to rules you set. You will have a much higher awareness of each lead creating an accountability, which in itself motivates you to give your leads more attention. onTrack CRM gives your leads the best opportunity to turn into closed sales.

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Would you like to improve your investment portfolio’s performance?  Take a look at the information below and see what Reuters Financial News is calling “the buying opportunity of our lifetime.”

Would you like to know where you can buy real estate at less than 40 cents on the dollar and get double digit ROI’s as high as 20% or more?

What’s All the Excitement About?

Here are examples of properties already acquired by our clients or are available. Both properties were purchased for less than 40 cents on the dollar and each started producing immediate cash flows of more than $400 a month with ROIs exceeding 15%. . If it sounds too good to be true, it’s not. These are real scenarios of just two of our many investors.

Here are examples of what all the excitement is about!

* examples shown are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as any guarantee of future performance.

Call me today to learn how you can take advantage of this incredible opportunity. This is not a gimmicky sales program. It is a bona fide rare opportunity that, based on current activity, will probably end in less than 12 months.

For more information, contact:

Elliot Y.C. Lau, Realtor

Inet Realty

808-306-0666 Direct Line

808-792-3515 Fax

elliot@pr2k.com

Or at least according to Robert Prechter , who had forecast the 1987 stock market crash, and is chairman of popular technical research firm Elliott Wave International. It is not like the Legion of Doom really needs any more groupies, but if that’s the man’s opinion we will take it.

My long term opinion is that the bear market has several years left to run, and stock prices will go a lot lower," Prechter, said in a telephone interview. more…

Reuters Financial News – "This is the buying opportunity of our lifetime. "

Contact me for more information.

elliot@inethi.com

As of October 27, 2008 year to date, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has lost 37% of its value; the first 27 days in October accounted for an unprecented 20% of the Dow’s YTD losses. The NASDAQ is even worse, down 42% year to date. Investors have seen a staggering $8.3 trillion dollars evaporate in the stock market so far this year.

As if things weren’t bad enough, Hawaii investors trying to escape the bloodbath in the stock market by moving their investments into real estate are finding Hawaii’s real estate market a tough alternative. Real property values on Oahu so far have bucked the national trend of downward spiraling prices. This means high acquisition prices and low, or even negative, cash flows for investors. “On Oahu, investors are happy to just break even and avoid a negative monthly cash flow,” says Carlton Choy, a Broker In Charge at Premier Realty 2000.

Fortunately, it’s not all gloom and doom. Hawaii investors are turning to a safe and stable investment vehicle and are taking advantage of the downturn in California’s real estate market. Hawaii investors are finding big opportunities in Orange County, California.

There are hundreds of 2 & 3 bedroom homes in Orange County that are owned by banks that had to foreclose on the delinquent owners. These homes that sold for $300,000-$400,000 a few years ago, can be purchased today for as little as $100,000. That’s a 60%+ discount. Investors can buy these homes at 30 cents on the dollar. These homes generate anywhere from $1700-$2400 a month in rent. After all expenses, investors are experiencing positive cash flows of about $400/month per unit equating to a double digit return on investment. While double digit ROI’s and hefty positive cash flows are great, the real investment value is in its future value. It’s a reasonable assumption that these homes will return to the same value it sold for a few years ago. Where else can you invest your money today and reasonably assume that it will triple in value in the next ten years?

In contrast, owning or buying investment real estate on Oahu for the same amount of money will get you a small studio and a negative cash flow. On top of that, since Oahu has held its value, you’re paying “retail” for that property and future value is much more speculative. “I meet with investors several times a week looking to invest in Oahu real estate,” says Elliot Lau, a Broker In Charge at Premier Realty 2000. “When I show them the opportunity in OC, their initial response is that it’s too good to be true. That’s how great the opportunity is right now, and we have real numbers to support it.”

How can you tell that OC real estate is such a great opportunity right now? Follow the pros. Professional real estate investors lead the markets while amateur investors chase the markets. Right now, the pros are buying in OC. A leading indicator of real estate markets is the months of remaining inventory (MRI). It is used to gauge the type of market at any given time. 12 months ago, OC’s MRI was at 17 months; an extrememly strong buyer’s market. In less than 12 months, OC’s MRI is down to 7 months, considered to be a neutral market. Take one guess as to who’s buying all of that real estate? It is no longer a buyer’s market in Orange County. Premier Realty 2000, which has offices in Honolulu and Orange County, has helped many investors reposition their real estate holdings from Oahu to Orange County and triple their return on investment and cash flows. Investors like Paul Lam and Jared Nakamoto of Honolulu see this as a “no-brainer” and are buying as much as they can before this window of opportunity closes. “We expect that there’s about a year remaining for investors to invest in Orange County with such favorable conditions.” says Brian Laughlin, President and Principle Broker of Premier Realty 2000, heading the Orange County office. “The smart investors are seeing that Oahu real estate is not the place to be investing and that Orange County currently offers investors a rare combination of low acquisitition costs, great cash flows and tremendous appreciation potential in a safe and stable investment vehicle.”

WASHINGTON (AP) — The number of homeowners ensnared in the foreclosure crisis grew by more than 70 percent in the third quarter of this year compared with the same period in 2007, according to data released Thursday.

Nationwide, nearly 766,000 homes received at least one foreclosure-related notice from July through September, up 71 percent from a year earlier, said foreclosure listing service RealtyTrac Inc.

By the end of the year, RealtyTrac expects more than a million bank-owned properties to have piled up on the market, representing around a third of all properties for sale in the U.S.

That’s bad news for anyone who lives nearby and wants to sell their home. While foreclosure sales are booming in many areas, those properties are commanding deep discounts and pulling down neighboring property values. "It has a pretty significant impact in terms of pricing," said Rick Sharga, RealtyTrac’s vice president for marketing.

RealtyTrac monitors default notices, auction sale notices and bank repossessions. More than 250,000 properties were repossessed by lenders nationwide in the third quarter, 81,000 of which were taken back last month.

Six states — California, Florida, Arizona, Ohio, Michigan and Nevada — accounted for more than 60 percent of all foreclosure activity in the quarter, with California alone making up more than a quarter of all U.S. foreclosure filings.

Detroit and Atlanta were the only cities outside California, Florida, Nevada and Arizona to make RealtyTrac’s list of the 20 hardest-hit metropolitan areas.

The combination of sinking home values, tighter mortgage lending criteria and an economy that many economists think has already slipped into recession has left hundreds of thousands of homeowners with few options. Many can’t find buyers or owe more than their home is worth and can’t refinance into an affordable loan, with the global credit crisis making loans far less available.

For those who can qualify for a loan, or have cash to invest, there are bargains to be had, especially in ravaged markets like Nevada and California. Last month, foreclosure resales accounted for more than half of existing home sales in California last month, as home sales jumped 65 percent from a year ago, while the statewide median home price fell 34 percent to $283,000, according to MDA DataQuick.

RealtyTrac, however, reported foreclosure filings in September were actually down 12 percent from August. But much of that decline was the result of new state laws that delay the foreclosure process. In California, for example, lenders are now required to contact borrowers at least 30 days before filing a default notice. A similar law in North Carolina gives borrowers an extra 45 days.

Still, that’s not likely to be enough to save homeowners who owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth. Nearly 12 million of the 52 million Americans with a mortgage — that’s 23 percent of them — are in that position, according to Moody’s Economy.com.

It remains to be seen how much the government’s intervention will stem the housing crisis. Earlier this month, the Federal Housing Administration launched a program that aims to prevent foreclosures by allowing homeowners to swap their mortgages for more affordable loans, but only if their lender agrees to take a loss on the initial loan. The bill is projected to help about 400,000 households.

Meanwhile, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., which took over Pasadena, Calif.-based IndyMac Bank over the summer, has been aggressively modifying troubled home loans since August in an effort to stave off foreclosures. Congressional Democrats are calling for that approach to be expanded as the Treasury Department buys billions in troubled mortgage debt as part of a $700 billion financial industry bailout.

By Alan Zibel, AP Business Writer

Notice of Defaults

Banked Owned Properties